With Canopy Growth Corp (NYSE:CGC) opening for trade on the New York Stock Exchange today, the initial price action is mimicking that of Cronos Group Inc (CVE:CRON) (NASDAQ:CRON) three months prior. After trading as high as $32.00 USD in the pre-market, shares have come back into orbit—for the time being.
[stock_chart symbol=”CGC:US” width=”100%”]
That same dynamic occurred with Cronos Group upon its original opening on the NASDAQ on February 27, 2018. At the time, they were the first Canadian cannabis company to be dual-listed on an American exchange, despite the fact cannabis remains illegal on the federal level.
After gapping up $0.69 to $8.24/share (↑9.14%) and trading as high as $8.38/share (↑10.99%) on February 27, sellers pounced in the morning session. CRON proceeded to shed ↓14.44%, peak-to-trough, before paring losses to just $0.14 by day’s end (↓1.80).
In summary, the issue soared higher, crashed, then recovered into the close on Day 1. CGC has followed this playbook exactly, but to a lesser degree.
All told, the company’s initial foray on the NASDAQ was a volatile experience, where enthusiastic American investors looking to gain legitimate access to the Canadian cannabis market clashed head-on with short-term profit takers. But once the latter took their money and ran, investors were granted clear impetus to run up the stock. Day 2 proved to be a whole different ballgame.
As of this writing, CGC is only lower by $0.56, or ↓2.16%. That’s a far cry from the Cronos Group roller coaster ride 3-months earlier, where prices swung 25-percent to the extremities. As Canopy Growth is endowed with a much deeper institutional following, price fluctuations have been decidedly more modest. Still, it can be said the same playbook is in effect (so far), but with lesser volatility.
Considering Canopy Growth has skyrocketed ↑32.28% over the past three weeks, this shouldn’t come as any surprise. Cronos Group had also experience a ↑14.52% in the days prior to listing on NASDAQ. The plethora of deep-pocketed pension funds, sovereign wealth funds, exchange traded funds etc. are not generally in the business of chasing positions, and many are likely still in the vetting stage.
Canopy Growth CEO Bruce Linton talks about applying for a U.S. Exchange listing back in October 2017
Even if today’s result doesn’t meet the results-now swing trader class, shareholders should not lose sight of the importance of Canopy’s listing on the NYSE. It places the company in pole-position to acquire U.S.-based assets, and opens them up to the deepest funds the world has to offer. Indexing also becomes a possibility. With indexing comes passive investing participation, and forced buying through structured index allocation. Canopy will be at the head of the class for all marijuana-based and perhaps mid-cap growth ETFs.
All told, investors should be quite satisfied with CGC’s performance. The stock remains technically positioned to move higher in the intermediate term, and nothing beyond normal-course profit taking has transpired so far. Beyond today’s ho-hum experience, Day 2 promises to provide a more true measure on which way the cannabis wins blow.
If it’s anything like Cronos Group three months earlier, CGC investors are in for a delightful ride.
Midas Letter is provided as a source of information only, and is in no way to be construed as investment advice. James West, the author and publisher of the Midas Letter, is not authorized to provide investor advice, and provides this information only to readers who are interested in knowing what he is investing in and how he reaches such decisions.
Investing in emerging public companies involves a high degree of risk and investors in such companies could lose all their money. Always consult a duly accredited investment professional in your jurisdiction prior to making any investment decision.
Midas Letter occasionally accepts fees for advertising and sponsorship from public companies featured on this site. James West and/or Midas Letter may also receive compensation from companies affiliated with companies featured on this site. James West and/or Midas Letter also invests in companies on this site and so readers should view all information on this site as biased.